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Change and Continuity in the 2012 Elections
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Change and Continuity in the 2012 Elections


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Elections

May 2014 | 408 pages | CQ Press

Since its first edition in 1980, Change and Continuity has been known for offering the best analysis and explanation of voting behaviour in the most recent US elections while setting those results in the context of larger trends and patterns in elections studies. Adopters appreciate how this top-notch author team meticulously explains to undergraduates the import and impact of their analysis of the NES data.

The 2012 edition, with its current scholarship and its excellent use and display of data, covers the most recent presidential and Congressional elections, voter turnout, and the social forces, party loyalties, and prominent issues that affect voting behaviour. 

 
Introduction
 
Chapter 1: The Nomination Struggle
Who Ran

 
The Rules of the Nomination System

 
The Dynamics of Multicandidate Campaigns

 
 
Chapter 2: The General Election Campaign
The Strategic Context and Candidates’ Choices

 
Political Context, Overall Strategy, and Opening Moves

 
From the Conventions to the Debates

 
The End Game and the Struggle Over Turnout

 
Did the Campaign Make a Difference?

 
 
Chapter 3: The Election Results
The Election Rules

 
The Pattern of Results

 
State-by-State Results

 
Electoral Change in the Postwar South

 
The Electoral Vote Balance

 
 
Chapter 4: Who Voted?
Voter Turnout, 1789–1916

 
Voter Turnout, 1920–2012

 
Voter Turnout among Social Groups

 
Changes in Turnout After 1960

 
Election-Specific Factors

 
Does Low Voter Turnout Matter?

 
 
Chapter 5: Social Forces and the Vote
How Social Groups Voted in 2012

 
How Social Groups Voted during the Postwar Years

 
Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down

 
 
Chapter 6: Candidates, Issues, and the Vote
Attitudes toward the Candidates

 
Prospective Evaluations

 
Issue Positions and Perceptions

 
Issue Voting Criteria

 
Apparent Issue Voting in 2012

 
Conclusion

 
 
Chapter 7: Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice
What Is Retrospective Voting?

 
Evaluations of Government Performance on Important Problems

 
Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent

 
Foreign Policy Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent

 
Evaluations of the Incumbent

 
The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations

 
Conclusion

 
 
Chapter 8: Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote
Party Identification: The Original View

 
Party Identification: An Alternative View

 
Party Identification in the Electorate

 
Hispanic Partisanship in 2008 and 2012

 
Party Identification and the Vote

 
Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations

 
Conclusion

 
 
Chapter 9: Candidates and Outcomes in 2012
Election Outcomes in 2012

 
Candidates’ Resources and Election Outcomes

 
The 2012 Elections: The Impact on Congress

 
The 2014 Elections and Beyond

 
 
Chapter 10: The Congressional Electorate in 2012
Social Forces and the Congressional Vote

 
Issues and the Congressional Vote

 
Party Identification and the Congressional Vote

 
Incumbency and the Congressional Vote

 
The Congressional Vote as Referendum

 
Presidential Coattails and the Congressional Vote

 
Conclusion

 
 
Chapter 11: The 2012 Elections and the Future of American Politics
The Great Continuities: The Electoral System and the Party System

 
The Great Change: Depolarization and the Return of Partisan Polarization

 
Change and Continuity in Turnout

 
Continuities in Electoral Partisanship

 
Changes in the Partisan Electorate

 
Change and Continuity in the U.S. Congress

 

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