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Change and Continuity in the 2012 Elections

Change and Continuity in the 2012 Elections

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May 2014 | 408 pages | CQ Press

Since its first edition in 1980, Change and Continuity has been known for offering the best analysis and explanation of voting behaviour in the most recent US elections while setting those results in the context of larger trends and patterns in elections studies. Adopters appreciate how this top-notch author team meticulously explains to undergraduates the import and impact of their analysis of the NES data.

The 2012 edition, with its current scholarship and its excellent use and display of data, covers the most recent presidential and Congressional elections, voter turnout, and the social forces, party loyalties, and prominent issues that affect voting behaviour. 

Chapter 1: The Nomination Struggle
Who Ran

The Rules of the Nomination System

The Dynamics of Multicandidate Campaigns

Chapter 2: The General Election Campaign
The Strategic Context and Candidates’ Choices

Political Context, Overall Strategy, and Opening Moves

From the Conventions to the Debates

The End Game and the Struggle Over Turnout

Did the Campaign Make a Difference?

Chapter 3: The Election Results
The Election Rules

The Pattern of Results

State-by-State Results

Electoral Change in the Postwar South

The Electoral Vote Balance

Chapter 4: Who Voted?
Voter Turnout, 1789–1916

Voter Turnout, 1920–2012

Voter Turnout among Social Groups

Changes in Turnout After 1960

Election-Specific Factors

Does Low Voter Turnout Matter?

Chapter 5: Social Forces and the Vote
How Social Groups Voted in 2012

How Social Groups Voted during the Postwar Years

Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down

Chapter 6: Candidates, Issues, and the Vote
Attitudes toward the Candidates

Prospective Evaluations

Issue Positions and Perceptions

Issue Voting Criteria

Apparent Issue Voting in 2012


Chapter 7: Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice
What Is Retrospective Voting?

Evaluations of Government Performance on Important Problems

Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent

Foreign Policy Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent

Evaluations of the Incumbent

The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations


Chapter 8: Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote
Party Identification: The Original View

Party Identification: An Alternative View

Party Identification in the Electorate

Hispanic Partisanship in 2008 and 2012

Party Identification and the Vote

Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations


Chapter 9: Candidates and Outcomes in 2012
Election Outcomes in 2012

Candidates’ Resources and Election Outcomes

The 2012 Elections: The Impact on Congress

The 2014 Elections and Beyond

Chapter 10: The Congressional Electorate in 2012
Social Forces and the Congressional Vote

Issues and the Congressional Vote

Party Identification and the Congressional Vote

Incumbency and the Congressional Vote

The Congressional Vote as Referendum

Presidential Coattails and the Congressional Vote


Chapter 11: The 2012 Elections and the Future of American Politics
The Great Continuities: The Electoral System and the Party System

The Great Change: Depolarization and the Return of Partisan Polarization

Change and Continuity in Turnout

Continuities in Electoral Partisanship

Changes in the Partisan Electorate

Change and Continuity in the U.S. Congress


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ISBN: 9781452240459

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