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Multiple Time Series Models
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Multiple Time Series Models



November 2006 | 120 pages | SAGE Publications, Inc
Many analyses of time series data involve multiple, related variables.á Multiple Time Series Models presents many specification choices and special challenges.á This book reviews the main competing approaches to modeling multiple time series: simultaneous equations, ARIMA, error correction models, and vector autoregression.ááThe text focuses on vector autoregression (VAR) models as a generalization of the other approaches mentioned.á Specification, estimation, and inference using these modelsáis discussed.á The authors also review arguments for and against using multi-equation time series models. Two complete, worked examples show how VAR models can be employed. An appendix discusses software that can be used for multiple time series models and software code for replicating the examples is available.Key FeaturesOffers a detailed comparison of different time series methods and approaches. Includes a self-contained introduction to vector autoregression modeling. Situates multiple time series modeling as a natural extension of commonly taught statistical models.
 
List of Figures
 
List of Tables
 
Series Editor?s Introduction
 
Preface
 
1. Introduction to Multiple Time Series Models
1.1 Simultaneous Equation Approach

 
1.2 ARIMA Approach

 
1.3 Error Correction or LSE Approach

 
1.4 Vector Autoregression Approach

 
1.5 Comparison and Summary

 
 
2. Basic Vector Autoregression Models
2.1 Dynamic Structural Equation Models

 
2.2 Reduced Form Vector Autoregressions

 
2.3 Relationship of a Dynamic Structural Equation Model to a Vector Autoregression Model

 
2.4 Working With This Model

 
2.5 Specification and Analysis of VAR Models

 
2.6 Other Specification Issues

 
2.7 Unit Roots and Error Correction in VARs

 
2.8 Criticisms of VAR

 
 
3. Examples of VAR Analyses
3.1 Public Mood and Macropartisanship

 
3.2 Effective Corporate Tax Rates

 
3.3 Conclusion

 
 
Appendix: Software for Multiple Time Series Models
 
Notes
 
References
 
Index
 
About the Authors

"This book amazingly introduces multiple time series on varied levels to help the reader to understand their assumptions, their four approaches, how to build theories to accompany their modeling, and how to interpret their results. This book would be quite an initiation, sweet and succinct, in advanced undergraduate and graduate courses on time series.  In addition, it is a useful and reliable resource  . . . this book also makes a fun reading!"

Ruth Chao
Contemporary Psychology: APA Review

Sample Materials & Chapters

Chapter 1


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