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Intelligence Analysis
A Target-Centric Approach

Sixth Edition


September 2019 | 480 pages | CQ Press
Now in its Sixth Edition, Robert M. Clark's Intelligence Analysis: A Target-Centric Approach once again delivers a consistent, clear method for teaching intelligence analysis—demonstrating how a collaborative, target-centric approach leads to sharper and more effective analysis. This bestseller also includes new end-of-chapter questions to spark classroom discussion, as well as material on the intelligence cycle, collection, managing analysis, and dealing with intelligence customers. Clark’s practical approach combined with his insider perspective create the ideal resource for students and practitioners alike.
 
Tables, Figures, and Boxes
 
Preface
What’s New?  
Acknowledgments  
 
Part I: The Process, the Participants, and the Product
 
Chapter 1: Introduction
Why Intelligence Fails  
What the Book Is About  
Summary  
Notes  
 
Chapter 2: Intelligence in the Age of Contested Norms and Persistent Disorder
Nature of Twenty-First-Century Conflict  
Tools of Conflict  
The Function of Intelligence  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 3: The Intelligence Process
The Traditional Intelligence Cycle  
Intelligence as a Target-Centric Process  
The Target  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 4: The Customer
Overview of Customers  
Identifying the Customer  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 5: The Analyst
Critical and Logical Thinking  
Objectivity  
Broad Perspective  
Good Instincts  
The Analyst’s Role  
Analytic Teams  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 6: The Analytic Network
The U.S. National Intelligence Network  
Homeland Security  
Military  
Law Enforcement  
Collaboration and Sharing  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 7: The Intelligence Product
Intelligence Research  
Current Intelligence  
Indications and Warning  
What Should an Intelligence Unit Produce?  
Constraints on the Intelligence Product  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Part II: The Analysis Process
 
Chapter 8: The Intelligence Issue
Preliminary Questions  
Issue Definition  
Issue Decomposition  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 9: Target Models
Modeling the Intelligence Target  
Some General Target Models  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 10: The Target Framework
Creating a Target Framework  
Issue 1: Al-Shabaab Ideology  
Issue 2: Influencing Azerbaijan  
Issue 3: The Monopolitania BW Threat  
Alternative and Competitive Target Frameworks  
The Dynamic Framework  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 11: Analyzing Existing Intelligence
Existing Finished Intelligence  
Sources of Raw Intelligence  
Evaluating Evidence  
Combining Evidence  
Structured Argumentation  
A Note about the Role of Information Technology  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 12: The Information Sources: Filling Gaps
Interrelating the Issue Decomposition and Target Framework  
Identifying Gaps  
Developing the Collection Strategy  
Executing Collection Strategies  
Analyst-Collector Interaction  
Evaluating Collection  
Collection Requirements  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 13: Denial, Deception, and Signaling
Denial  
Deception  
Defense against Denial and Deception: Protecting Intelligence Sources and Methods  
Countering Denial and Deception  
Signaling  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 14: Gaining Customer Acceptance
Structuring the Message  
Presenting the Message  
Reviewing the Analytic Product  
Customer Interaction  
Analyst as Advocate: Getting Buy-In  
Aftermath: Dealing with Unexpected Outcomes  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Part III: Anticipatory Analysis and Modeling
 
Chapter 15: Anticipatory Analysis: Forces
Background Forces  
Synergy  
Causal Models  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 16: Anticipatory Analysis: Methodology
Convergent and Divergent Phenomena  
The Estimative Approach  
Unintended Consequences  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 17: Outcome Scenarios
Why Use Scenarios?  
Types of Scenarios  
Scenario Perspectives  
How to Construct Scenarios  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 18: Systems Modeling and Analysis
Systems Analysis Methodology  
Performance  
Process  
Risk  
Cost  
Operations Research  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 19: Relationship Modeling and Analysis
Link Models  
Network Models  
Network Analysis  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 20: Geospatial Modeling and Analysis
Static Geospatial Models  
Dynamic Geospatial Models  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 21: Simulation Modeling
Types of Simulations  
Creating and Running a Simulation  
Simulations Used in Intelligence Analysis  
Decision Modeling and Simulation  
Checking the Decision Model: Red Team Analysis  
Summary  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
Chapter 22: Case Study: A Tale of Two NIEs
The Yugoslavia NIE  
The Iraqi Weapons of Mass Destruction NIE  
Critical Thinking Questions  
Notes  
 
List of Commonly Used Acronyms
 
Index
 
About the Author

“[Intelligence Analysis] provides a very comprehensive and well organized depiction of the intelligence function; it is well written, straightforward, and readable; and the tables, figures, graphs and maps are all appropriate and supportive of the reader’s understanding of the text because they clearly depict data and processes.”

Vincent Henry
Long Island University - Riverhead

For instructors

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ISBN: 9781544369143
£63.99